Quote:
Originally Posted by FILO
Chavez will continue to provide FARC with the most militarily significant resource; a safe haven where it's troops can R&R and train without COL MIL interference.
Historically FARC has operated in a decentralized manner and in fact, it wasn't until the mid to late 90s where they were able to coordinate operations on a strategic scale. They only operated at that level for about 6-7 year and haven't since Pastrana finally realized he was played the fool and went back into the DMZ.
Uribe will not get a 3rd term. Also there is no military or LE solution to the "total defeat" of FARC. There are too many other factors which impact their ability to function.
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I guess Uribe has given them something to think about with the Raul Reyes operation as far as R&R goes. Also, the porous border is a benefit to a few Fronts but is not universally an option. The Southern and Eastern Fronts will be better insulated from the government's CI efforts because of coca revenue and geography, but they are not the whole movement.
I think Santos will get the presidency. But I would still like to see something pulled off with Uribe. That is not an unpopular idea on the ground there.
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