Quote:
Originally Posted by Brush Okie
Aside from spilling over in border ares and more refugees how do you think this will effect this nation?
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Finding this report just today, so far I’ve only skimmed it. Therefore my comments are primarily based on previous understanding of the situation. I am no expert on the border, but do try to watch it from the nosebleed level. So, off the cuff, the following:
Spillover is less about refugees/immigrants than it is about the (US) internal rot brought about by drugs and, to a lesser extent, drug violence on this side of the border. Illegal immigration is down significantly since Trump won the election, even before January 20th. If the wall isn’t built, but the hardline against illegal immigration remains, I would expect the cross border numbers to creep up slowly as the poor south of the border assess their personal risk acceptance levels. After all, people cross the border from Afghanistan into China, assessing the risk is lower in China than back home. It’s a millennia old calculus.
Lesser in numbers to those seeking better economic conditions, but greater in per capita threat to our nation are the SIA’s—Special Interest Aliens—those from high risk terrorism nations. More than we’d like to think have walked or swam across our southern border. Both Hezbollah (American killer #1 prior to 9/11) and ISIS have links to the Mexican drug cartels. I would expect both of these sophisticated actors to exploit the best, most secure trafficking networks. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (Iran) connection to the cartels has already been established. Just look up the busted plot on the Saudi ambassador to the US.
On a nonviolent level, gaining control of the border will have a negative economic impact on agriculture and the service industries—primarily restaurants and hotels—you know, those jobs Americans don’t want to do. However, when I visit areas of this country without a significant immigrant population I see those service jobs staffed by young American gaining work experience or by Americans on the lower end of the economic spectrum. I have no idea if this extends to America’s agricultural fields, but I do know that European and American students and other western expats are hired to pick wine grapes in France.
Obviously carrying on for too long, this is my uneducated take on what the violence, and general situation in Mexico means to the United States now.