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I was in a similar brief....there was another major factor...economics.
The stronger the economic ties between the US and China the less the chances for war...the stronger the Chinese economy was ... particularly in the growing middle class and stronger wages across the board would also diminish the percentages for classic warfare.
All of those economic equations have come about.
Does China want to lose all of it's US debt holdings? Does China want to lose its largest market for goods and for production?
Maybe, I'm no seer but I doubt it.
China has never had it so good for the Government or it's average worker.
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