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Old 09-03-2004, 15:20   #5
Airbornelawyer
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Quote:
Originally posted by The Reaper
Rasmussen (for today) is a few days old polling data.

They state on the site that some of the responses were gathered before Zell's speech.

I expect the increase on Rasmussen to widen as more current data is taken, and as Kerry continues to self-destruct. I get the impression from his actions and words more and more every day that he lacks steadiness and calm to be a leader under pressure.

Now, I believe, is the time to start looking at the state/Electoral College numbers.

TR
Rasmussen's poll is a two-way race - Bush/Cheney vs. Kerry/Edwards. Time's is a 3-way, with Nader/Camejo added in. Both are of likely voters, as opposed to registered voters. The former is a better measure, assuming the poll respondent is telling the truth.

Rasmussen's poll covered 8/31-9/2, the same period covered by Time, so neither takes into account the effect of Bush's speech, Kerry's response and new attacks, or today's economic numbers. Zogby had a poll for the same period. It showed Bush at 46% and Kerry at 44%. Adding in Nader, it was 46% to 43% to 3%, so Nader took about 1% from Kerry.

ARG has a poll for the same period which gives Bush a 1% lead in a head-to-head, but a tie with Kerry in a 3-way.

If you want to compare all of the polls, I suggest RealClearPolitics. It also has state polling data. It's also a good gateway to opinion pieces and other commentary.
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