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I am saying that if you fall for the enemy's deception plan, you are orienting, deciding and acting against a false threat, and if the deception plan was properly integrated, falling into his trap, putting him inside your OODA loop.
Assumptions? Some assumptions must be made in military planning. When I assume away enemy capabilities, or overassume the capabilities of my own, I am pulling the wool over my own eyes.
Let me assume that a small force is capable of conquering the enemy. I will assume that the HN will be grateful and compliant. I assume that the utilities will be functional, or require only minor repairs to restore. I assume that the enemy forces will surrender and will return to lawful employment upon release. I assume that the post-conflict military operations can be conducted with a minimal military force. I assume that the neighboring countries will control their borders with my target nation and control access. After these vastly over-optimistic assumptions, who is inside who's OODA loop?
TR
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"It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat." - President Theodore Roosevelt, 1910
De Oppresso Liber 01/20/2025
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