Quote:
Originally Posted by civilian
You missed the point. Didn't say we were bogged down but rather our guys a busy doing their jobs right now doing multiple tours. The point is that we don't have the resources nor the political will to launch an invasion of Iran. Joint Chiefs would bauk at any suggestion. Therefore, it has nothing to do with geography and pushing west. You don't push west against a country like Iran. That would require a lot and would only unite the Iranians more. We could have pushed in Nam too but there wasn't the political will. Regardless, the world won't back our play to invade OBL because they wouldn't extradict him. Didn't say he went to Iran right after Tor Bora. Obviously he wentto Pakistan and who knows how long he stayed there before it got too hot there. Ahmadinejad wouldn't be in the know of such a operation of a military/national security nature. Also If he is not in Iran then where is he? Was he not in the video days before the 2004 election before Bush and kerry. How are they making the voice tapes? And yes they can put OBL in front of a desk with a sheet behind him to be careful not to underestimate their enemy either. regardless, the audio tapes seem to be too specific to world events. I just have heard a good theory of how they are doing these tapes.
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I'm not missing your point, you're missing mine. Of course the Joint Chiefs and Congress would have a fit if we tried to invade Iran right now. But if we had intel that bin Laden was in Iran
before we hit Iraq, I guarantee everybody and their brother would have been down to turn Tehran into a dustbowl.
You're throwing ideas out, but you aren't backing it up with any real evidence or even theory. If Ahmadinejad didn't know about harboring bin Laden, do you know who would be responsible for such an operation? The Quds. They are Iran's version of SF/CIA types, and they are not going to defy their government and take the political risks of harboring the most wanted man in the world. Despite how much trash Iran talks, they do not want to be invaded. It is simply a power play to put themselves in the spotlight and show the rest of the Middle East that since Saddam is gone, Iran is the strongest country in the region now, which they are.
In my opinion, bin Laden is moving to and from secure locations in the NWFP, North and South Waziristan, and Peshawar, Pakistan. Our spying capabilities our extremely limited in those areas, especially with him on the move. Obviously, you didn't read the article I posted.
This is where I think he is:
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/07/ma...akistan-t.html