Quote:
Originally Posted by LongRange27
Why do you believe he is in Iran? Most reports indicate he went east, not west. Most of Al-Qaeda are Sunni Baluchi fundamentalists, whereas the majority of Iran's government are Shi'a moderates, less conservative reformers of Islam. It is highly unlikely they would be working in conjunction, as their ideologies are starkly conflicting.
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Remember the saying "The enemy of enemy is my friend"! Iran could care less less if OBL was Morman after what he pulled off on 9/11. I think he looks weak and looks like shit and that is why OBL only sends out audio. Important that the video not provide any clue that our anaylists might pick up on. Good friend of mine who retired as an operator in 04 thinks OBL is dead and they might have software to take bits of his voice and stream them into a message. I don't think so at all. I really believe he is being hosted in Iran which is the safest place he could be. Again, my theory is that a condition of Iran hosting him, they controll what gets out to the media. I posted the other day that I was surprised OBL hadn't commented on the Gaza battle and within a few days we have another audio tape. I just don't think he could feel safe in Pakistan. Why would he want to stay in Pakistan anyway. It's just their FOB and he can't meet with any of his operational folks anyway. I bet he has most of his family in Iran and they live in a tightly controlled compound. He gets medical care and protection but Iran controlls the tapes and messages that get sent out. Keeping OBL alive, helps divert less focus on Iran building nukes. Which by the was Saddam would had to start doing to match Iran. we ought to make wagers and let team srgt hold the money until we get a winner.
Just my opinion.