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Originally Posted by civilian
Seems Pakistan has become a pretty hot AO. Press reporting over 30 strikes since Aug 2008. Seems for years now that OBL couldn't risk meeting any of his operational guys for fear of what they would disclose if captured. Just don't think even loyal elements of the ISI in Pakistan could continue to hide him. I've read Iran let OBL or at least his son stay there until the build up to the Iraq invasion. My guess is that he went back to Iran and is aided by certain elements of Iran's military or leadership. The agreement could have been that Iran would control what messages were released and when, as to keep us guessing to prevent any clues from pointing back to Iran. He may very well be buried somewhere in Iran by now. He had to have medical care and couldn't stay in a cave forever. Keeping us guessing about OBL helps to some degree distract from Iran's nuclear program. Iran probably thinks we are prevented from touching him there by our own politicans who would scream Bush is expanding the war without congressional approval. Only other country that has a history of hiding terrorists is Syria. However, I don't think they have the balls to try it and it's obvious no one is untouchable in Sryia. Find it hard to believe OBL hasn't sent out a message about Israel kicking the shit out of Hamas. The silence is deafening. I would think Iran would like that very much since they help fund Hamas. Anyway, I say he's dead in Iran.
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Why do you believe he is in Iran? Most reports indicate he went east, not west. Most of Al-Qaeda are Sunni Baluchi fundamentalists, whereas the majority of Iran's government are Shi'a moderates, less conservative reformers of Islam. It is highly unlikely they would be working in conjunction, as their ideologies are starkly conflicting.