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I agree with this line of thinking, but why now is my main question.
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I think the answer is more obvious than you might think. Coming shortly on the heels of abu graib media feeding frenzy anything that could further sour the US public on the war is a victory to them. If they had been able to kill scores of US troops it might provide the impetus for the likes of Kerry, Clinton, Gore, Kennedy, Daschle, Byrd, Rangle, Conyers, Jackson Lee, Pelosi, et alia (with their flanks covered by Rather, Jennings, NPR, CNN, Brokaw and the NY Times) to demand that the President withdraw our troops post haste.