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Old 04-13-2004, 17:22   #4
The Reaper
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Re: Re: Let's talk about Iraqi oil

Quote:
Originally posted by Airbornelawyer
Things to think through first:

1. Are gas prices really that high, on historically weighted terms (hint: inflation adjusted dollars)?

2. Assuming they are higher, at least in the short term, why are they higher?

3. Would "reimbursment" ameliorate this situation? How?

4. Assuming there were tangible benefits of #3, what would be the costs? Not just PR consequences, but things like loss of revenue for Iraqis for their country's reconstruction, etc.
Why are they high?

Speculators and futures markets. Inventories are more than adequate.

Expanding Chinese economy is also increasing international market demand for oil.

Want to lower prices? Can you end futures trading of oil and gasoline?

Why else? Environmental laws.

Want to drop prices? Get back to a few blends of gas with no special state requirements. Create incentives for new refinery construction. Approve limited drilling in the ANWR. Encourage construction of new nuclear power plants to replace fossil fueled generation.

What else?

Develop a fuel cell powered auto and make it practical and affordable. Nail in the coffin of OPEC. The countries would implode as their economies failed.

TR
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