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Originally Posted by smp52
I feel that men, who don't want to see a future beyond their local tribal tradtions have gravitated towards the revisionist salafist movements in order to assert their position by force. Plenty of folks yell and scream death to [insert infidel community here], but most of those situations seem to be fuelled more by a mob dynamic. How many of those idiots who scream and yell actually wind up taking the step and murdering/becoming a terrorist? From a few sources I've read/reading, people who make the act of actually killing vs 'going with the flow' of the mob and apathetically/passively/actively supporting the global jihad activities have different psychologies. .
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As I stated earlier, I truly believe that Islam is at war with itself. Having said that I look at this movement more like a guerrilla campaign where those that are extremists are leading an insurgency to wrest control to copt the religion and move it back to the fundamentalist ideals in order to establish a new Caliphate. If you understand insurgencies and how they are structured, the overt arm will always be small and will conduct small operations with the greatest chance of success so that they can use those successes to draw new recruits to the movement. The attacks have to be splashy and successful as the psyop aspect is often more important than the tactical. I mean what can be more powerful than someone willing to show that is thinks nothing about dying for his beliefs? Behind those overt guerrillas are the support base of auxillary and underground which is huge. It provides all the resources, intelligence, leadership, communications support, the entire infrastructure. To be successful they cannot run around yelling "I am a terrorist, jihadist, or even overtly identify with the tenets of the movement if they are to be successful in building and maintaining their movement. Even those who are openly verbal are having their shots called for them wittingly or unwittingly. So you cannot judge the size of this movement by the number of those "expendable" guerrillas who carry out the attacks. You need to think more in terms of just how many folks needed to orchestrate those attacks in order to pull them off. This movement is international in scope and it is not, as the press and administration likes to call it, a Global War on Terrorism but a Global War For Islam which is part of the problem because for folks who think only in terms of GWOT they are missing the point. Terrorism is a tactic, but it is not the only facet in play here, but the overt choice of action that is displayed for public consumption.Right now Islam is at war with itself using their success against the infidels to show that they have to power to establish a new Caliphate and once that Caliphate has been established the war with the infidels will really get cranked up and we will move to phase III of guerilla warfare with the newly established Caliphate.