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Low Moving Target
I'd say it is a "SWAT SHOT" that is not generally trained for. I say this only because it seems that most "missed" shots are during an entry or stressful situation. LEOs seem to do just fine outside one on one.
Most train for the vertical area 4-6 foot shot at what range, 6-15 feet?
Kick in a door and you have a 2 1/2 foot high target rapidly closing.
As you stated, a dog should not suprise an entry team. Recon, past knowledge, even the county dog license can be a source.
A barking dog target? I can see it now. On about 10% of the entries you have a barking target critter "running" to the door. Make it out of that foam that they use for the deer targets.
Pete
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